Oil Markets React to Geopolitical Shifts as Trump Tariffs and Iran Talks Reshape Demand Outlook
Brent crude fell 1% to $71.03 amid dual pressures from heightened US trade barriers and progressing nuclear negotiations. The WHITE House's tariff escalation to 15% under emergency powers triggered cross-asset risk aversion, dragging oil alongside equities and gold.
Geneva prepares for Thursday's critical US-Iran talks, with Oman confirming diplomatic movement. Market sensitivity to supply disruptions eased marginally, though Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish $60/bbl Brent forecast for 2026 citing inventory draws.
The structural surplus projection of 2.3 million barrels/day faces downside risks from potential sanction relief on Russia or Iran—a scenario that could send shockwaves through energy-linked crypto assets like METIS and MOVR.